Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.190058 0.214628 0.240624 0.270122 0.302607 0.337234 0.376875
2025-06-29 0.155524 0.188313 0.225003 0.268909 0.319816 0.376774 0.445105
2025-07-06 0.130912 0.168519 0.212698 0.268018 0.334984 0.412958 0.510114
2025-07-13 0.114114 0.155192 0.205582 0.271230 0.353703 0.453042 0.580806
2025-07-20 0.102548 0.146559 0.202679 0.278395 0.376641 0.498472 0.659452
2025-07-27 0.091088 0.136488 0.196537 0.280240 0.392134 0.534619 0.727532
2025-08-03 0.083160 0.130120 0.194332 0.286498 0.413004 0.577895 0.805927
2025-08-10 0.076810 0.125151 0.193322 0.293839 0.435161 0.623275 0.888403
2025-08-17 0.068684 0.116648 0.186442 0.292174 0.444429 0.651343 0.948445
2025-08-24 0.062073 0.109679 0.181045 0.291939 0.455223 0.681415 1.011782
2025-08-31 0.056124 0.103087 0.175553 0.290945 0.464498 0.709312 1.072659
2025-09-07 0.052489 0.099832 0.174795 0.296774 0.483690 0.751556 1.154683
2025-09-14 0.047688 0.094280 0.170187 0.296659 0.494420 0.782698 1.223058
2025-09-21 0.043359 0.089079 0.165685 0.296306 0.504596 0.813237 1.291472
2025-09-28 0.039483 0.084258 0.161380 0.295869 0.514427 0.843415 1.360157
2025-10-05 0.036739 0.081215 0.159790 0.299656 0.530885 0.883908 1.445202
2025-10-12 0.034922 0.079726 0.160730 0.307615 0.554207 0.935466 1.548246
2025-10-19 0.032370 0.076524 0.158359 0.309715 0.567987 0.972657 1.630493
2025-10-26 0.030721 0.074951 0.158778 0.316574 0.589754 1.022833 1.733908
2025-11-02 0.029349 0.073802 0.159862 0.324587 0.613664 1.077010 1.844891
2025-11-09 0.026856 0.069998 0.155638 0.322793 0.620808 1.104596 1.914998
2025-11-16 0.024773 0.066848 0.152408 0.322546 0.630458 1.136343 1.992341
2025-11-23 0.022784 0.063679 0.148876 0.321469 0.638500 1.165568 2.066279